I'll side with first-round running back history here, though, and continue to view Etienne as a high-end fantasy football asset. There is some worry about athleticism with Long, though, and that could really limit his fantasy football upside. , and that helped give him a high-end breakout age. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 19Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 5Post-Draft Positional Rank: 7Tier: 10. Smith's best-season yards per team pass attempt rate -- the most predictive production-related metric in my model -- was 4.37. I found some of the charts he included somewhat hard/unintuitive to read. Treylon Burks, Drake London, and Garrett Wilson are good enough prospects that all three are defensible picks as the WR1 in this class. The off-season is heating up! Find details and individual feeds for all of these podcasts, as well as a ton of dynasty fantasy football content at https://dynastyleaguefootball.com. Until August, we dont know exactly who will be drafted where in most rookie drafts. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Best Bets, Daily Fantasy Golf Picks, Course Key Stats, and Win Simulations, Daily Fantasy Golf: The Heat Check Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational, FanDuel Soccer: EPL DFS Helper for Wednesday 3/1/23, 3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 Daily Fantasy NHL Stacks for Tuesday 2/28/23, 5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 NBA FanDuel Studs to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, NBA Betting Guide for Tuesday 2/28/23: Targeting 3 Totals on Tuesday, College Basketball Betting Guide: Tuesday 2/28/23, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, NHL Daily Fantasy Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Wide Receiver Prospects Who Produced Like Studs. James Snook-USA TODAY Sports. Trade Addicts Podcast 251 Spending Valentines with a Heartthrob, Dynasty Crossroads Episode 257 Travis May, pt 3, SuperFlex SuperShow 233 Not Extreme But Extremely Effective, Dynasty Theory 191 Patron Startup Breakdown. Eric Ebron and JuJu Smith-Schuster could be gone, opening things up for Freiermuth to be the team's primary tight end and target in the middle of the field. That's translated into 50 fewer wide receiver targets than any other team. is incredible. Both single-quarterback and superflex. That's the feeling I get. He's worth a flier late in rookie drafts. You know that whole "first-round wide receivers with a negative stat score have consistently busted in my model" thing that I talked about with Jaylen Waddle? Isaiah Spiller immediately becomes one of fantasy's most exciting handcuffs. Toney's electric with the ball in his hands, and he's still learning the wide receiver position after playing quarterback in high school and serving more as a gadget player until his final season at Florida. I don't even agree with all of the specific player takes and feel like I got a ton out of it just from the overall concepts he articulates much better than I could or have the time to. Except, unlike Waddle, Toney doesn't have the same type of injury-related excuse. The Chiefs no longer have Sammy Watkins, and the number-two wide receiver role is up for grabs. Thank you Peter , Aaron Rodgers FINALLY Done in Green Bay? Again, I have no issue if you'd rather pass on Marshall for a safer bet like Elijah Moore or Rashod Bateman. Here's how I put it pre-draft: "If Hall lands with an established receiving back, it could take him a few years to develop into a three-down optionakin toDavid Montgomery(0.98 YPRR). Trey Lance is a big mover post-draft after being selected by Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers. RESEARCH & ANALYSIS of statistical trends within professional sports is having a massive impact on the game of fantasy football. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 18Tier: 11. Let's talk to JJ Zachariason about Fantasy Football. What I really like about it is it doesn't tell you who's good and who's not (according to the analyst) it shows you the process JJ takes when making his rankings as well. Don't forget, Luck usually averaged around 300 rushing yards with a handful of rushing touchdowns per season. If you're an avid listener over the last couple of years, you're not going to find a ton of new information. In fact, he could take over the Houston backfield if he was as criminally underused in college as some suspect. On the other hand, White's receiving profile gives him RB1 upside if he can eventually work into an Aaron Jones-type role. Really, I'd have no problem if you took Moore as the WR4 in this class -- he has plenty of potential, especially in this Arizona Cardinals offense. And that's a big deal. I definitely am learning how to properly approach what's free content and what's not, and how to strike the right balance. Try DLF Premium for only $7.99 with a Monthly Subscription. The Ravens run the football efficiently. Dyami Brown was a big play waiting to happen at North Carolina. My model likes D'Wayne Eskridge more than I do, and that's creating some issues with where to rank him. Last week on the show, JJ talked through a handful of players he was looking to buy in his dynasty leagues this offseason. Hes met lifelong friends, won Fantasy Sports Writers Association awards, and worn gym shorts (and sometimes gorilla costumes) nearly every day of his nine-year career as a fantasy analyst. By a lot. Regular Season. Unsurprisingly, the Jets took Zach Wilson with the second overall pick in last week's draft. Cookie Notice Adam Levitan talks to JJ Zachariason and Mike Leone about how to adjust. Rookie tight ends don't produce in fantasy football. He's not an early declare, and his lanky frame is something we really haven't seen before from such a strong prospect. From a fit standpoint, it's understandable why the Packers drafted Rodgers. Smith was a top-10 pick, and even though we've seen top-10 busts in the past, a lot of them were objectively avoidable. That's the fewest pass attempts in football. Michael Carter II is now officially a Day 3 back, and that doesn't bode well for his career success in fantasy football. Our RB-heavy rankings count down the top-30 first-year players who . If the A.J. Weather info Powered by Dark Sky. Let me know and I'll get to them in the next edition of the @DLFootball Dynasty Fantasy Football mailbag! I re-listen to his evergreen episodes, bookmark and revisit the rookies he mentions pre-draft, and take notes of how he improves year over year. And elite wide receivers can transform an offense. Ive heard whispers of buzz surrounding Treylon Burks, so looking at historical comps, (8.6 PPG in his rookie season), there have been 192 wide receivers who have scored 8.6 per game or less in their rookie season, and the list is filled with bust after bust after bust. 11. JJ Zachariason's Tweets. I'm a believer that Moore can grow into something more than a Jamison Crowder-type slot receiver. Click here to learn more! They waited on the position and got Amon-Ra St. Brown in the fourth with the 112th pick. JJ Zachariason here. It changed his life. Print. The wide receiver position has two or three prospects clearly above the rest, depending on your point of view, ad a solid second tier well know more about after the draft. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 12Tier: 7. Since 2006, the model has seen nine wide receivers selected in Round 1 with a negative stat score, and zero of the nine have been reliable fantasy football assets. His total yards per team play was the absolute best in this draft class after tallying nearly 2,300 yards from scrimmage as a Sophomore. JJ Zachariason (@LateRoundQB) November 28, 2022. . Contact Us. He's already 24 years old, he's not an early declare after playing five seasons at Western Michigan, he played at a smaller program, and he only had one good year of production. My model doesn't mind Tutu Atwell. Dynasty Rankings. And, as we know, Kyle Shanahan's running scheme can be productive for fantasy purposes. He can be found on Twitter @PatKerrane. Here is an updated set of dynasty and keeper rankings for those of you in those kinds of leagues: An overall top 240. There's a reason draft capital is in my model -- it has signal. Latest YouTube video youtube: https://youtu.be/Ic-nV8FMQYk Links: Database: https://www.patreon.com/posts/46218140, Jake Anderson (@NFLdrafttalker) made most of my graphics, Zac Reed (@tacitassassin13) made the intro and some of the background music, Gabe Geering (@FFmanbun) made the Chicken or Crow theme song for @dynastycrossroads. Among dart throw running backs, Kenneth Gainwell is one of my favorites. Your last sentence alone is reason enough if you've been enjoying his content. And the air horns. And that's as his team's clear No. However, there are consistent areas we can look for value, find common edges and (perhaps) take advantage of mistakes by the broader consensus. After the draft, Meyer called Etienne his "third-down back" while saying James Robinson and Carlos Hyde would be the team's 1-2 punch, seemingly on early downs. 1. The story for Powell is about situation. My issue is that with Baltimore, changing to be some average destination for wide receiver production will take a good bit of effort. And that's why it wouldn't bother me at all if you opt to go with Chase over Harris at the 1.01 spot in single-quarterback rookie drafts. In fact, he comes in as a 44th percentile prospect in my model. The award-winning Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast gives you everything you need to know about fantasy football in bite-sized 15-minute episodes. He's got a high-upside arm and has mobility, but not to the degree of a Lance or Fields. James Cook feels a tad overvalued, with the Bills seeming to view him as a receiving specialist rather than Singletary's every-down heir. That's due to the fact that he ranked in the top-eight in all three production-related categories in the model among the 50 wide receivers who were invited to the combine. Theres a small cottage industry thats sprung up around trashing trade calculators. Pickenss production (9.8 PPG) was fine, but his target share of 15.6% doesnt scream target hog though hes often priced as an elite dynasty asset. Trade Addicts Podcast 251 Spending Valentines with a Heartthrob, Dynasty Crossroads Episode 257 Travis May, pt 3, SuperFlex SuperShow 233 Not Extreme But Extremely Effective, Dynasty Theory 191 Patron Startup Breakdown. If we knew Deshaun Watson would be the quarterback, Collins would be more in the Amon-Ra St. Brown tier -- he'd likely be ahead of St. Brown. Season-long 1QB rankings and tiers (May through August), Season-long superflex rankings and tiers (May through August), Dynasty superflex rankings and tiers (monthly), Rest-of-season rankings and tiers (in-season weekly), Weekly positional rankings and tiers (in-season weekly). Wilson won't get that ranking because of his landing spot, but he checks every box we're looking for from an elite talent. Like I said: teams change. Though Fields was the QB5 last year with 20.5 PPG, he still gets the side eye from a good bit of the dynasty community. It's not an NFT it's a freaking fantasy football guide. That has to count for something. His variable hesitancy at the line in 2020 was gone in 2021, as he was decisive, quick, and violent when hitting the hole. Instead of buying low on a player like Burks, Id rather conserve those assets and buy high on another player. Matt Kelley, aka The Podfather, hosts RotoUnderworld's flagship program delivering in-depth fantasy analysis supported by advanced metrics, insider real talk, and cheeky shenanigans. DISCLAIMER: This site and the products offered are for entertainment purposes only, and there is no gambling offered on this site. He deserves support imo. Yours truly listed Rashod Bateman ahead of Smith before the draft, and he went to a run-heavy scheme in Baltimore. The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Mailbag 2/24/23. For his career, Adams TD/Target rate is 7.3. If St. Brown can grab hold of the slot role, perhaps we'll see him be Jared Goff's new Cooper Kupp. JJ answers those questions as he goes over his post-draft rankings. Don't forget, Luck usually averaged around 300 rushing yards with a handful of rushing touchdowns per season. The draft guide is awesome and offers a lot more than just semi personalized rankings. NFL Draft Futures Betting: Who Will Be the First Defensive Player Drafted? Which three 2nd year WRs should fantasy owners be buying this off-season? He wasn't an early declare. Yeah, yeah -- I know. Finally, it also provides links to any recent trades involving both players (or picks) involved in your particular deal. at Memphis. Tyler Higbee and Dallas Goedert Will Finish Outside the Top-12 at Tight End. We know how Sam Darnold's 2022 is going to go. The difference? He's not all that big at about 200 pounds, but he can fly. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Best Bets, Daily Fantasy Golf Picks, Course Key Stats, and Win Simulations, Daily Fantasy Golf: The Heat Check Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational, FanDuel Soccer: EPL DFS Helper for Wednesday 3/1/23, 3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 Daily Fantasy NHL Stacks for Tuesday 2/28/23, 5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 NBA FanDuel Studs to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, NBA Betting Guide for Tuesday 2/28/23: Targeting 3 Totals on Tuesday, College Basketball Betting Guide: Tuesday 2/28/23, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, NHL Daily Fantasy Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, Meyer called Etienne his "third-down back", he's noted that he plays smaller than that, John Harbaugh knows this and has talked about this, 87.6% of Justin Fields' attempts last season came against top-50 defenses, with the Patriots likely to decline his fifth-year option, The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Wide Receiver Prospects Who Produced Like Studs. I feel like he does go a little more in depth. What if we are wrong though? He was my pre-draft WR2 for a reason. JJ wrote an e-book called The Late-Round Quarterback in 2012. Including The best dynasty rankings in the industry 23. But we can't deny the immediate impact St. Brown can make, especially if he's able to capture the main slot role. Dynasty Rankings. Corral has a decently high ceiling as a willing scrambler with accuracy and has enough weapons around him to succeed right away. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 1Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 1Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1Tier: 1. It'd be completely asinine to spend a luxury pick on a running back who'd only play passing downs, and this is likely just a classic instance of coach speak. Love hearing this. He wasn't even a top-10 pick. More so than any other position, running backs make up the far majority of any season's league-winners.And, typically, you're going to have to pay up to acquire them. JJ Zachariason has the perfect Skyy Moore comp, and I'm mad I didn't think of it. Dont forget to download the Rotoworld app to receive real-time player news, mobile alerts and track your favorite players. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 15Tier: 8. Where a player gets drafted isn't everything. Many have pointed to the 2020 Bills as the perfect example of a run-heavy team moving to become a pass-heavy one. It's possible a new coaching staff eventually expands Walker's usage. He's justfine. Weather info Powered by Dark Sky. We shouldn't expect a whole lot from Pat Freiermuth as an NFL rookie. Editors Note: Now, all our premium tools for Fantasy and Betting are included in one subscription at one low price. You can support pahowdy belowif you, like: Youtube: youtube.com/c/PeterHowardPahowdy. Seriously. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 30Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 9Post-Draft Positional Rank: 6Tier: 8. ADP Index. If Pickett delivers that same level of play, the Steelers will probably just move on instead of doubling down. Rondale Moore rounds out this giant Tier 4, staying in the same position he was in pre-draft. Per Sannes, despite this schedule, Fields ranks in the 74th percentile in adjusted yards per attempt among first-round quarterback selections since the turn of the century.